0xcfa8846301a7c5a3a14bc9c46c9eb90d2b55b114
0xcfa8846301a7c5a3a14bc9c46c9eb90d2b55b114
- Realised P&L
- $2.83
- Volume
- $215.04
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $9.34
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.575 | $2.05 | +$1.05 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.805 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.865 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.880 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.075B? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.925 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.300 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.430 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.31at 0.308Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 27?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:30 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:26 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:45 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:13 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:48 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.075B? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 12:59 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:15 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:44 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:27 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:27 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:39 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |