ultimater
0xcfa7d02ce56cc0987a9f0db7346902870b69d561
- Realised P&L
- $-6.23
- Volume
- $63.45
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.170 | $0.85 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.045 | $0.52 | −$1.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.24 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-28 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.97 |
| 09-27 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.44 |
| 09-27 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.76 |
| 09-26 22:24 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.24 |
| 09-26 20:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.95 |