PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xcfa55f950839808e458ab8f1ae843c12984935c6

0xcfa55f950839808e458ab8f1ae843c12984935c6

Realised P&L
$-5.8k
Volume
$72.1k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$525.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2000.105$525.00−$475.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$10.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 17:12Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.2$1.0k
08-09 11:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.4985044865$20.00
08-08 15:59Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.91$372.53
07-31 12:54Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.911$545.77
07-31 04:13Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.920904556$221.53
07-28 16:15Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.536$172.94
07-24 16:17Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?SELL0.0566610845$11.81
07-20 06:27Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6199999975$50.00
07-19 23:59Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6198299257$150.00
07-18 08:31Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.4$200.00
07-18 08:30Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.5007545679$300.00
07-16 15:36Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.5673808793$50.00
07-16 05:28Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.6559999994$100.00
07-15 12:43Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.69024454$150.00
07-15 10:52Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.5206818748$100.00