0xcfa55f950839808e458ab8f1ae843c12984935c6
0xcfa55f950839808e458ab8f1ae843c12984935c6
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $72.1k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $525.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.105 | $525.00 | −$475.00 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.677US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.828US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$728.53at 0.842US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$480.99at 0.754US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$265.41at 0.786US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 17:12 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.0k |
| 08-09 11:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4985044865 | $20.00 |
| 08-08 15:59 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $372.53 |
| 07-31 12:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.911 | $545.77 |
| 07-31 04:13 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.920904556 | $221.53 |
| 07-28 16:15 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.536 | $172.94 |
| 07-24 16:17 | Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year? | SELL | 0.0566610845 | $11.81 |
| 07-20 06:27 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 23:59 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6198299257 | $150.00 |
| 07-18 08:31 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 07-18 08:30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.5007545679 | $300.00 |
| 07-16 15:36 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.5673808793 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 05:28 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.6559999994 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 12:43 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.69024454 | $150.00 |
| 07-15 10:52 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.5206818748 | $100.00 |