PolyBot

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Traders

viktorurolog16

0xcf9efbdb300d03a6c462eda8840dcc3ab9b1518e

Realised P&L
$14.9k
Volume
$649.7k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$31.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6370.755$16.3k+$2.6k
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5170.895$9.6k+$4.0k
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7420.935$3.0k+$611.98
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7470.940$646.42+$133.05
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · No0.6860.940$351.64+$94.89
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · Yes0.3500.230$245.89−$128.24
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · No0.7540.895$225.54+$35.51
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5670.930$213.10+$83.10
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.961$147.06+$30.76
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · No0.6330.770$121.68+$21.68
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.935$115.55+$10.55
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? · No0.7440.690$102.06−$7.94
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027? · No0.5750.525$91.28−$8.72
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.810$53.46+$5.94
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027? · No0.7400.885$46.94+$7.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 20:02Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.74$39.25
10-22 20:01Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027?BUY0.575152322$100.00
10-22 08:31Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$10.00
10-22 08:28Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?BUY0.63$47.25
10-21 21:35Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7$35.00
10-19 16:37Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?BUY0.3499532317$374.14
10-17 17:40Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-17 17:39Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.4$5.00
10-17 17:38Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.743050987$100.00
10-05 09:02Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-05 08:56Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-21 20:19Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0208077475$312.42
09-21 12:20Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.0117633675$50.00
08-25 04:38Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$47.52
08-24 22:18Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5673438658$130.00