viktorurolog16
0xcf9efbdb300d03a6c462eda8840dcc3ab9b1518e
- Realised P&L
- $14.9k
- Volume
- $649.7k
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $31.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.491Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
- +$3.6kat 0.709Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?
- +$3.5kat 0.455Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
- +$3.1kat 0.145Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.442Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 20:02 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $39.25 |
| 10-22 20:01 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.575152322 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 08:31 | Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 08:28 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.63 | $47.25 |
| 10-21 21:35 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 10-19 16:37 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.3499532317 | $374.14 |
| 10-17 17:40 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 17:39 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 17:38 | Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.743050987 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 09:02 | Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:56 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 20:19 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0208077475 | $312.42 |
| 09-21 12:20 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0117633675 | $50.00 |
| 08-25 04:38 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $47.52 |
| 08-24 22:18 | Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5673438658 | $130.00 |