PolyBot

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Traders

Margaret5729

0xcf9254714b07f85de9125fa845bdc802cf8af063

Realised P&L
$-14.34
Volume
$18.0k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$19.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No0.9980.999$13.01+$0.01
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9990.999$6.40$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:29Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.999$6.40
09-13 11:22Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.998$13.00
09-08 16:07Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.999$14.99
09-05 10:43Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.999$15.00
09-04 00:21Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.998$6.69
09-02 13:07Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.994$8.57
09-02 13:06Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.996$10.67
09-01 09:33Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.999$6.70
08-30 10:46Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.9969999998$8.60
08-25 09:26Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.999$10.70
08-25 07:48Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.999$1.00
08-25 07:47Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.999$1.10
08-25 07:46Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.999$3.90
08-25 07:45Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.999$5.30
08-25 07:44Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.998$13.48