gu0lujh15
0xcf8de69299226f142fd703085bd01fe480b9a8bf
- Realised P&L
- $-127.25
- Volume
- $59.0k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $37.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.940 | 0.974 | $37.44 | +$1.31 |
| Spurs vs. Lakers · Spurs | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.62at 0.920Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?
- +$1.58at 0.950Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?
- +$1.32at 0.953Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$1.32at 0.950Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?
- +$1.23at 0.946Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 05:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.939999999 | $36.13 |
| 10-19 02:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9909999811 | $35.90 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.99 | $34.36 |
| 10-14 16:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9619999922 | $33.40 |
| 10-14 16:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.9712058824 | $33.02 |
| 10-14 02:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.984 | $32.83 |
| 10-12 13:39 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.95 | $31.70 |
| 10-10 07:58 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.980684667 | $31.10 |
| 10-10 07:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.992 | $31.17 |
| 10-08 13:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9609999991 | $30.20 |
| 10-07 00:33 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9819999997 | $29.90 |
| 10-05 02:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $34.80 |
| 10-03 00:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $34.30 |
| 09-30 14:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9809999745 | $32.80 |
| 09-30 14:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.988 | $32.90 |