simeone
0xcf8c03b43ee5cc890be694094e6580ecd6a82f40
- Realised P&L
- $-50.05
- Volume
- $149.0k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $203.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 12? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $198.90 | −$0.90 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 12? · No | 0.992 | 0.986 | $4.93 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.26at 0.221Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$36.06at 0.581Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$16.65at 0.339Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$13.06at 0.434Pelicans vs. Warriors
- +$8.72at 0.937Will Solana dip to $130 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:21 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 10-09 14:21 | Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 12? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-05 15:36 | Will the price of Solana be above $145 on October 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-19 08:53 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-19 08:53 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-19 08:53 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $150 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-19 08:52 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-19 08:52 | Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-21 13:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on August 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $608.39 |
| 08-21 13:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on August 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $162.92 |
| 08-21 13:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on August 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $259.28 |
| 08-16 03:14 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $204.79 |
| 08-16 03:14 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $319.21 |
| 08-16 03:14 | Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $170.83 |
| 08-16 03:13 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |