PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qnguyen301-2

0xcf8bfe106e757a725accb917b03d35dc483b0c74

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
429
Open portfolio
$15.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded429
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes0.5380.495$7.79−$0.68
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.1900.170$3.26−$0.38
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? · Yes0.5100.100$2.57−$10.52
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? · Yes0.4100.235$1.23−$0.92
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 700k? · Yes0.0600.012$0.41−$1.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 18:31Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 29?SELL0.59$11.80
09-27 16:52Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 29?SELL0.52$2.58
09-27 11:06Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.2377097506$5.24
09-27 11:02Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?SELL0.7831473684$44.64
09-27 05:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28?SELL0.58$8.49
09-27 02:52Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?SELL0.39$9.75
09-26 23:07Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?SELL0.35$18.71
09-26 15:16Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?SELL0.18988875$15.19
09-26 03:47Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?SELL0.5805084746$34.25
09-26 01:32Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?SELL0.127028348$3.90
09-25 15:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27?SELL0.3408311426$16.85
09-25 11:43Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?SELL0.0214148148$1.16
09-25 11:21Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 26?SELL0.530877193$30.26
09-25 03:18Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21?SELL0.02$0.72
09-24 13:11Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?SELL0.08$4.00