qnguyen301-2
0xcf8bfe106e757a725accb917b03d35dc483b0c74
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $15.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes | 0.538 | 0.495 | $7.79 | −$0.68 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.190 | 0.170 | $3.26 | −$0.38 |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.100 | $2.57 | −$10.52 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.235 | $1.23 | −$0.92 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 700k? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.012 | $0.41 | −$1.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.72at 0.520Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
- +$10.80at 0.360Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $176 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.900Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 9?
- +$3.04at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 9?
- +$2.80at 0.710Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-27 16:52 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.58 |
| 09-27 11:06 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.2377097506 | $5.24 |
| 09-27 11:02 | Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9? | SELL | 0.7831473684 | $44.64 |
| 09-27 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.58 | $8.49 |
| 09-27 02:52 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.39 | $9.75 |
| 09-26 23:07 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? | SELL | 0.35 | $18.71 |
| 09-26 15:16 | Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? | SELL | 0.18988875 | $15.19 |
| 09-26 03:47 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | SELL | 0.5805084746 | $34.25 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.127028348 | $3.90 |
| 09-25 15:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.3408311426 | $16.85 |
| 09-25 11:43 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? | SELL | 0.0214148148 | $1.16 |
| 09-25 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.530877193 | $30.26 |
| 09-25 03:18 | Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.72 |
| 09-24 13:11 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |