0xcf8b32e3337f0007a51f4f35ee4b265fc1684ded
- Realised P&L
- $12.59
- Volume
- $45.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,367
- Open portfolio
- $22.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,367
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.62at 0.007Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 19?
- +$101.53at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 8?
- +$96.82at 0.384Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 11?
- +$91.76at 0.468Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 13?
- +$91.13at 0.350Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-18 05:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.35 |
| 09-18 05:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.05 |
| 09-18 05:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.05 |
| 09-18 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 05:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 05:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.05 |
| 09-01 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.47 |
| 09-01 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.48 |
| 08-30 13:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.47 |
| 08-30 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.40 |
| 08-30 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.65 |