0xcf8b32e3337f0007a51f4f35ee4b265fc1684ded
- Realised P&L
- $71.86
- Volume
- $39.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,096
- Open portfolio
- $26.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,096
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.69at 0.007Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 19?
- +$103.31at 0.365Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 8?
- +$98.61at 0.372Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 11?
- +$93.89at 0.455Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 13?
- +$91.90at 0.344Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.99 |
| 08-04 19:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6 | $0.50 |
| 08-04 19:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.47 |
| 08-03 14:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 08-03 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.86 |