PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xcf8b32e3337f0007a51f4f35ee4b265fc1684ded

Realised P&L
$12.59
Volume
$45.1k
Markets traded
1,367
Open portfolio
$22.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,367
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on September 19? · Yes0.4210.460$4.76+$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19? · No0.6000.755$3.77+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.3400.420$3.70+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19? · Yes0.3900.475$3.65+$0.65
Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 19? · Yes0.4000.540$2.70+$0.70
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19? · Yes0.5100.970$1.99+$0.94
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.5400.745$1.45+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26? · No0.0400.000$0.00$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13? · No0.8030.000$0.00$5.99
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20? · No0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 12? · No0.0300.000$0.00$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 23? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.94
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 29? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$15.98
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15? · No0.0200.000$0.00$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 11? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:28Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.04$0.20
09-18 05:06Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.44$2.35
09-18 05:04Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19?BUY0.51$1.05
09-18 05:04Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.54$1.05
09-18 05:02Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.39$3.00
09-18 05:02Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.6$3.00
09-18 05:02Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.4$2.00
09-18 05:02Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.4$2.00
09-04 15:43Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 6?BUY0.34$1.05
09-01 21:06Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 3?BUY0.35$2.47
09-01 21:06Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on September 3?BUY0.84$3.00
08-31 18:35Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 2?BUY0.35$1.48
08-30 13:52Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on September 1?BUY0.49$2.47
08-30 13:52Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 1?BUY0.36$2.40
08-30 10:58Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 1?BUY0.35$1.65