sirnostalgia
0xcf8afd23abbfbe974cda6660c8c54e24e582085b
- Realised P&L
- $-690.01
- Volume
- $68.7k
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $672.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.00at 0.700US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
- +$36.69at 0.160Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$22.40at 0.440US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$21.32at 0.710US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
- +$19.09at 0.319Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 14:15 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:29 | Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 09-07 16:28 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $12.29 |
| 09-07 16:26 | Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.28 |
| 09-07 16:12 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089 | $4.00 |
| 08-21 08:06 | Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-03 16:03 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.09 |
| 08-03 16:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $22.55 |
| 06-21 20:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 21:38 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | BUY | 0.29 | $13.05 |
| 06-10 21:28 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.058872 | $15.01 |
| 06-07 13:25 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.12 |
| 06-07 13:23 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 06-07 13:23 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 06-07 13:22 | Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |