PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sirnostalgia

0xcf8afd23abbfbe974cda6660c8c54e24e582085b

Realised P&L
$-690.01
Volume
$68.7k
Markets traded
272
Open portfolio
$672.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded272
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.094$125.78−$18.40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.630$107.10+$20.30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3380.285$104.88−$19.38
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1970.170$78.20−$12.45
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2350.125$39.37−$34.72
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.037$37.50−$2.50
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1670.095$36.10−$27.50
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2590.205$35.22−$9.20
Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0850.095$25.78+$2.82
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2310.075$21.60−$44.84
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.065$11.05−$10.55
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1510.038$10.93−$31.88
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.022$10.35−$14.12
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2710.085$8.16−$17.90
Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.070$3.50−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 14:15Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.084$1.00
09-07 16:29Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.04$4.00
09-07 16:28Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.013$12.29
09-07 16:26Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$20.28
09-07 16:12Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089$4.00
08-21 08:06Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$1.95
08-03 16:03Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$9.09
08-03 16:02Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.41$22.55
06-21 20:58Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
06-10 21:38Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?BUY0.29$13.05
06-10 21:28Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.058872$15.01
06-07 13:25Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.12
06-07 13:23Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?BUY0.18$3.60
06-07 13:23Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.20
06-07 13:22Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$2.80