PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jolabi

0xcf8a14dd67fe4e41f014169698df1aa9cb032691

Realised P&L
$-85.55
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$7.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0950.028$5.78$14.17
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1400.029$1.05$3.95
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0090.001$0.29$4.71
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$2.69
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$7.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$5.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$8.00
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00$3.00
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.1090.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.7970.000$0.00$1.00
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.73
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$10.00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-15 10:47Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.7969999299$1.00
05-08 13:53Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.095$19.95
04-27 11:55Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.16$5.00
04-23 17:34Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0087609863$5.00
04-23 17:33Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1149999819$5.00
04-23 17:32Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0789999915$8.00
04-14 10:55Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?BUY0.0147311821$2.00
04-14 10:55Will Mark Lohan win the 2026 Galway West by-election?BUY0.1724251089$5.00
04-14 10:47Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.409999991$10.00
04-13 08:56US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?BUY0.2029999478$3.00
04-10 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.2199999593$3.55
04-10 20:14Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?SELL0.683$3.59
04-10 10:08Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?SELL0.487$10.23
04-08 21:17Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.2699998542$0.89
04-08 21:13Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.01$0.86