neel545
0xcf8905f4b191e913cd71d6610214e3850bd48f83
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $79.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $8.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.397 | $8.44 | +$4.19 |
| Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$490.75 |
| Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.410Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$0.00at 0.120Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$-85.65at 0.870Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-07 04:33 | Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.51 |
| 01-06 18:16 | Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.234 | $2.34 |
| 01-06 07:34 | Over $60M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 01-06 05:12 | Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.223 | $14.06 |
| 01-06 05:12 | Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.7k |
| 01-06 05:10 | Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? | SELL | 0.95 | $152.41 |
| 01-05 18:22 | Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.089 | $15.93 |
| 01-04 09:36 | Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.4080645161 | $63.25 |
| 12-30 09:51 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.12 | $300.00 |
| 12-30 09:49 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $300.00 |
| 12-29 18:50 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.4k |
| 12-29 18:30 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.5k |
| 11-18 05:07 | Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale? | BUY | 0.75 | $490.75 |
| 11-18 05:06 | Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? | BUY | 0.1899999997 | $500.00 |