PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCF8860F26D88CA2e5920fF881c29231eB9863897-1769444265090

0xcf8860f26d88ca2e5920ff881c29231eb9863897

Realised P&L
$-54.85
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$10.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes0.6500.650$5.38+$0.00
Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes0.4700.465$4.25−$0.05
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0030.001$0.51−$2.19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.041$0.24−$0.76
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1000.002$0.02−$1.63
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 11:22Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.4699999809$2.95
10-16 09:14Will Trump say "Hell" 14+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.469999906$1.35
10-15 23:29Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.001$1.00
10-15 15:56Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.6499999638$5.38
10-15 15:56Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.27$7.37
04-27 21:17Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4399999883$12.01
04-15 20:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.1899998902$1.19
04-15 20:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.3299998927$1.81
04-14 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.67$5.47
04-14 18:35Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.3499999475$2.72
04-14 18:31Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.4799999568$3.70
04-14 18:28Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.1099999032$0.87
04-14 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.119999952$1.75
04-14 18:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.08$2.60
04-14 18:06Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?BUY0.001$1.33