SentientSun
0xcf75ef29b0a31fabe20d5c943eadc960b1623bb0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $81.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · Yes | 0.759 | 1.000 | $51.39 | +$12.39 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.305 | $28.70 | −$9.54 |
| Elon Bull Run Combo · Yes | 0.070 | 0.066 | $0.95 | −$0.07 |
| Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.44 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.80 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.79at 0.560Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 9?
- +$-122.74at 0.531Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 11:56 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.1999632251 | $323.53 |
| 02-10 11:56 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.1899019608 | $96.85 |
| 02-09 22:10 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $198.92 |
| 02-09 22:10 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 02-09 22:10 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $51.00 |
| 02-08 19:42 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.1698138462 | $220.76 |
| 02-08 19:41 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $83.84 |
| 02-08 19:41 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.49 |
| 02-08 15:59 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $25.78 |
| 02-08 11:41 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.1498346405 | $91.70 |
| 02-08 09:47 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $8.26 |
| 02-08 09:29 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $15.29 |
| 02-08 09:14 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.04 |
| 02-08 09:12 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $10.84 |
| 02-08 09:02 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.14998999 | $149.84 |