PolyBot

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Traders

Ledbetter23

0xcf74a47523c3a31d7d43538c21c664647ffb2cef

Realised P&L
$-151.79
Volume
$22.9k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$77.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.004$77.62$77.62
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$59.00
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$19.00
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$20.00
US military action against Iran before July? · No0.4250.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-26 10:34Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$55.24
01-26 10:33Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$100.00
11-04 23:26Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.0519999976$20.00
09-03 15:11French election called by September 15?BUY0.7799999963$136.69
08-01 12:34Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?BUY0.06$30.00
07-18 11:04Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?BUY0.0699999984$40.00
07-18 10:59Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?BUY0.0699999967$19.00
06-17 15:12US military action against Iran before July?BUY0.4249999926$20.00
06-17 15:08Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?SELL0.022$38.50
05-23 17:06Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?BUY0.012$21.00
02-23 17:47Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.359999987$10.00
02-11 21:59Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?BUY0.1499999941$19.00