Ledbetter23
0xcf74a47523c3a31d7d43538c21c664647ffb2cef
- Realised P&L
- $-151.79
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $77.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $77.62 | −$77.62 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.00 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| US military action against Iran before July? · No | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.55at 0.780French election called by September 15?
- +$17.78at 0.360Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$17.50at 0.012Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-26 10:34 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $55.24 |
| 01-26 10:33 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $100.00 |
| 11-04 23:26 | Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0519999976 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 15:11 | French election called by September 15? | BUY | 0.7799999963 | $136.69 |
| 08-01 12:34 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 07-18 11:04 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31? | BUY | 0.0699999984 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 10:59 | Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31? | BUY | 0.0699999967 | $19.00 |
| 06-17 15:12 | US military action against Iran before July? | BUY | 0.4249999926 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 15:08 | Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits? | SELL | 0.022 | $38.50 |
| 05-23 17:06 | Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits? | BUY | 0.012 | $21.00 |
| 02-23 17:47 | Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 02-11 21:59 | Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | BUY | 0.1499999941 | $19.00 |