0xcf738f5d49dc09dc453b02636f9347c5655f230c
0xcf738f5d49dc09dc453b02636f9347c5655f230c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.76
- Volume
- $293.14
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $4.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.770 | 0.991 | $2.51 | +$0.56 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.245 | $1.27 | −$0.39 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.145 | $1.05 | −$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.46at 0.240Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?
- +$5.19at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$4.66at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$4.57at 0.274Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$4.43at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 23:15 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.66 |
| 09-19 08:09 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.66 |
| 09-19 00:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999778 | $1.66 |
| 09-17 00:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999975 | $1.66 |
| 09-16 16:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999884 | $1.66 |
| 09-16 08:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999643 | $1.66 |
| 09-16 00:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $1.66 |
| 09-13 02:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999975 | $1.66 |
| 09-12 04:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999626 | $1.66 |
| 09-11 20:04 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.66 |
| 09-09 19:11 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3499999367 | $1.66 |
| 09-09 11:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999364 | $1.66 |
| 09-09 03:08 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.279999973 | $1.66 |
| 09-09 00:48 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.66 |
| 09-09 00:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999669 | $1.66 |