PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

one8tyfive

0xcf6c5492124794394dd9eac46498a8babbe47e66

Realised P&L
$1.13M
Volume
$98.53M
Markets traded
4,459
Open portfolio
$16.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,459
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.7100.455$11.4k$6.4k
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9300.935$2.5k+$13.63
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1210.112$1.1k$94.98
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7800.545$956.47$412.42
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8300.840$449.45+$5.35
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No0.8800.855$342.00$10.00
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti · Tallon Griekspoor0.1800.000$0.00$4.2k
Ravens vs. Chiefs · Ravens0.6700.000$0.00$1.9k
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly Birrell · Kimberly Birrell0.3600.000$0.00$0.56
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis · Maddison Inglis0.1600.000$0.00$545.60
Celtics vs. Heat · Heat0.7460.000$0.00$22.4k
Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks0.5600.000$0.00$3.9k
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5500.000$0.00$12.7k
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan · Denis Shapovalov0.5700.000$0.00$2.2k
National Bank Open: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNally · Linda Noskova0.9000.000$0.00$8.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:43Sao Paulo Open: Darja Semenistaja vs Teodora KostovicBUY0.77$5.5k
09-16 17:03Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire LiuBUY0.72$5.8k
09-16 16:57Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire LiuBUY0.75$896.35
09-16 15:36Valencia: Joelle Steur vs Francesca CurmiBUY0.55$27.50
09-16 14:31M25 Sintra: Max Basing vs Giorgio TabaccoBUY0.57$480.51
09-16 14:30M25 Sintra: Max Basing vs Giorgio TabaccoBUY0.53$410.22
09-16 14:18M25 Sintra: Max Basing vs Giorgio TabaccoBUY0.53$411.81
09-16 14:17M25 Sintra: Max Basing vs Giorgio TabaccoBUY0.58$501.70
09-16 13:39M25 Sintra: Benjamin Pietri vs Francisco RochaBUY0.79$1.3k
09-16 13:38M25 Sintra: Benjamin Pietri vs Francisco RochaBUY0.77$451.81
09-16 13:25Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd HarrisBUY0.3532661824$2.5k
09-16 12:51W50 Pazardzhik: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Ipek OzBUY0.92$552.00
09-16 12:43M25 Sintra: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Fausto TabaccoBUY0.83$748.62
09-16 12:05Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Laura SamsonBUY0.83$1.1k
09-16 12:04Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Laura SamsonBUY0.8281301096$190.44