milli.cent
0xcf6b4d59b1f4b2a6330badc60f4f806f9e93ac53
- Realised P&L
- $-36.15
- Volume
- $544.97
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $7.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.245 | $7.49 | −$3.51 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.35at 0.379Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
- +$-5.15at 0.258Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
- +$-12.90at 0.776Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-15.23at 0.044Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 00:55 | Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999948 | $11.00 |
| 10-19 21:23 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BUY | 0.3699999949 | $4.38 |
| 10-19 21:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 21:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 17:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7689999859 | $12.78 |
| 10-06 20:19 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.36 |
| 10-05 12:35 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | BUY | 0.0421648956 | $15.00 |