kndrak
0xcf6a0ebad070771300f317e089e0b7c5adc49f91
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $140.66
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.985 | $51.65 | +$1.13 |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No | 0.972 | 0.946 | $45.25 | −$1.27 |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? · No | 0.967 | 0.739 | $39.71 | −$12.25 |
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · No | 0.954 | 0.980 | $4.05 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$954.00at 0.470Rays vs. Tigers
- +$528.22at 0.510Cardinals vs. Orioles
- +$528.04at 0.570Marlins vs. Guardians
- +$503.10at 0.550Tigers vs. White Sox
- +$412.80at 0.570Nationals vs. Astros
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 13:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | BUY | 0.97 | $49.47 |
| 03-11 09:40 | Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.995 | $20.89 |
| 08-19 11:54 | Yankees vs. Rays | BUY | 0.57 | $432.06 |
| 08-15 10:50 | Phillies vs. Nationals | BUY | 0.39 | $15.21 |
| 08-13 12:38 | Tigers vs. White Sox | BUY | 0.55 | $109.39 |
| 08-12 08:45 | Marlins vs. Guardians | BUY | 0.57 | $699.96 |
| 07-23 07:58 | Giants vs. Braves | BUY | 0.61 | $814.39 |
| 05-27 11:40 | Cardinals vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.51 | $544.75 |
| 05-16 12:18 | White Sox vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.67 | $649.90 |