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Traders

rocavil

0xcf62befca8b7216b42f03d2eb3ed8666b12923d8

Realised P&L
$-17.27
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$217.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Verónica Díaz Robles win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? · Yes0.5780.545$54.49−$3.25
Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? · No0.8470.785$43.17−$3.42
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.6560.631$41.05−$1.60
Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election? · Yes0.5960.620$15.49+$0.58
Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · Yes0.3040.470$13.63+$4.82
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · Yes0.6550.670$13.40+$0.30
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · No0.6000.955$9.55+$3.55
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · Yes0.7800.721$7.21−$0.59
Will Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election? · Yes0.7200.710$7.10−$0.10
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? · Yes0.5280.367$3.67−$1.61
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.625$3.13−$0.13
Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? · Yes0.5100.485$2.42−$0.13
Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election? · Yes0.2290.097$2.41−$3.32
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? · Yes0.5500.045$0.36−$4.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 22:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.549999956$5.00
10-05 22:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL0.76$4.99
10-05 22:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.6099999451$4.00
10-05 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL0.5$4.38
10-05 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.5699999886$5.00
10-05 22:14Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL0.4$3.92
10-05 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-05 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSELL0.99$5.62
10-05 22:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.8799999859$5.00
10-05 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSELL0.49$4.45
10-05 22:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.549999956$5.00
10-05 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSELL0.87$7.25
10-05 22:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.599999976$5.00
10-05 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.02$0.20
10-05 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.6$4.99
Trader rocavil · PolyBot Pro