RogueWon
0xcf60bfd621c82c188875da469228aad0675d1867
- Realised P&L
- $615.04
- Volume
- $158.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $401.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.160Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$116.63at 0.025Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-0.14at 0.015Will Netflix dip to $35 in March?
- +$-2.95at 0.025Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-5.85at 0.350Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 20:42 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $4.44 |
| 04-07 03:18 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 03-29 02:36 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $149.80 |
| 03-27 19:03 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1464245071 | $5.87 |
| 03-24 11:30 | Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $8.03 |
| 03-24 11:24 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $83.99 |
| 03-23 18:35 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 03-23 00:18 | Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.68 |
| 03-22 00:12 | Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.30 |
| 03-22 00:04 | Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0253540539 | $172.00 |
| 03-12 21:50 | Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.0828206298 | $1.81 |
| 03-09 06:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $127.20 |
| 03-09 06:33 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $100.00 |
| 03-08 06:13 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $10.44 |
| 03-07 21:36 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0208096314 | $25.70 |