PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

RogueWon

0xcf60bfd621c82c188875da469228aad0675d1867

Realised P&L
$615.04
Volume
$158.1k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$401.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2350.095$331.56$488.03
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.035$69.69$71.71
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$100.80
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$142.41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$100.00
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$149.40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$364.19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$270.14
Another US bank failure by March 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$140.65
US bank failure by April 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$111.30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$35.72
Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$61.38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$3.48
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$225.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-11 20:42Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?BUY0.032$4.44
04-07 03:18Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.05$100.00
03-29 02:36Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?BUY0.07$149.80
03-27 19:03Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1464245071$5.87
03-24 11:30Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?SELL0.025$8.03
03-24 11:24Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?BUY0.09$83.99
03-23 18:35Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999987$50.00
03-23 00:18Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?BUY0.09$6.68
03-22 00:12Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?BUY0.1$4.30
03-22 00:04Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?BUY0.0253540539$172.00
03-12 21:50Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.0828206298$1.81
03-09 06:35Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$127.20
03-09 06:33Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$100.00
03-08 06:13Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY0.023$10.44
03-07 21:36Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0208096314$25.70