dxfby666
0xcf56d4fe5cf915f855b6bdc496e8f9fa69ebee5f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $132.4k
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $18.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.450Will Everton win on 2024-12-04?
- +$381.00at 0.365No US strike on Syria in 2025?
- +$293.65at 0.853Kings vs. Lakers
- +$205.78at 0.410Titans vs. Packers
- +$140.60at 0.265US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 13:27 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $110.06 |
| 05-09 13:25 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 04-27 01:15 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.491 | $147.30 |
| 04-24 14:59 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 04-10 15:07 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $21.31 |
| 04-10 15:07 | Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30? | SELL | 0.684906 | $34.25 |
| 04-10 14:06 | Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30? | SELL | 0.6080132869 | $19.22 |
| 04-10 14:03 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 04-10 12:07 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.6079398 | $30.40 |
| 04-10 08:17 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.84 |
| 03-31 09:17 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.748 | $37.40 |
| 03-31 09:17 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.65102 | $32.55 |
| 03-31 09:16 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31? | SELL | 0.98 | $41.16 |
| 03-27 13:17 | Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9393292 | $93.93 |
| 03-27 13:13 | Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | SELL | 0.983 | $110.59 |