JerrySchneider8893
0xcf5572629428b02d1c06a310ec33c2f7324f7d8a
- Realised P&L
- $-879.58
- Volume
- $255.2k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $157.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? · No | 0.720 | 1.000 | $134.00 | +$37.52 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.745 | $22.35 | +$19.05 |
| Brex IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.013 | $0.48 | −$12.47 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.200 | $0.20 | −$0.46 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.085 | $0.09 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$711.36at 0.170Will Furia make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
- +$525.28at 0.330Obras vs. San Lorenzo
- +$388.47at 0.120Will Mitch McConnell attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$318.78at 0.310Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
- +$215.80at 0.470Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:01 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $3.44 |
| 04-09 22:10 | Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.32 |
| 04-09 09:55 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.61 | $52.46 |
| 04-09 09:54 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.61 | $236.68 |
| 04-07 20:13 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | BUY | 0.62 | $293.88 |
| 03-31 03:07 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $306.36 |
| 03-31 03:06 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $170.20 |
| 03-31 02:46 | Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.1 | $95.60 |
| 03-30 02:07 | Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $119.60 |
| 03-29 23:02 | Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.13 | $124.28 |
| 03-29 22:17 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $412.16 |
| 03-29 18:07 | Lightning vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.59 | $430.70 |
| 03-26 02:39 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $447.18 |
| 03-26 02:38 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $932.64 |
| 03-25 16:10 | Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.29 | $155.15 |