PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

on09

0xcf4dab1c7fe0ef23dca42bdfd857dd3c5cbccb2d

Realised P&L
$547.34
Volume
$990.7k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2? · Yes0.9980.999$658.64+$0.66
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 3? · Yes0.9100.986$404.92+$31.18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? · Yes0.9980.999$315.32+$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 01:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 3?BUY0.9092311686$192.65
05-10 13:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?SELL0.998$98.42
05-10 13:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?SELL0.998$74.13
05-10 10:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?BUY0.991$4.96
05-10 08:49Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 10?SELL0.988$69.16
05-10 08:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?BUY0.944$100.20
05-10 08:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?BUY0.94$465.11
05-10 08:01Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 10?BUY0.98$68.60
05-10 07:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?BUY0.5779545455$25.43
05-10 07:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?BUY0.5394285714$45.31
05-10 06:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?BUY0.961$0.77
05-10 06:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?BUY0.96$13.86
05-09 02:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?BUY0.994$19.98
05-08 18:04Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?BUY0.9948983258$243.65
05-08 17:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?BUY0.995$1.0k