k3vin.xyz
0xcf4a61ce4ba0791125801a7c5c5e1e50762381a9
- Realised P&L
- $68.95
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $6.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.239 | $4.79 | +$1.59 |
| Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.445 | $1.04 | +$0.66 |
| Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.004 | $0.64 | −$7.86 |
| Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$6.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.22at 0.430Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?
- +$68.94at 0.392Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
- +$60.60at 0.411Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
- +$37.89at 0.442Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
- +$35.57at 0.742Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:37 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | SELL | 0.5657811823 | $39.15 |
| 09-10 09:59 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.3828905911 | $26.49 |
| 09-04 15:21 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima? | SELL | 0.0077375 | $0.50 |
| 08-28 16:22 | Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? | SELL | 0.48 | $10.08 |
| 08-28 16:21 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | SELL | 0.6135011442 | $268.10 |
| 08-26 11:34 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | SELL | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 08-26 11:31 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | SELL | 0.2394467127 | $29.79 |
| 08-19 11:04 | Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo? | SELL | 0.9382 | $18.76 |
| 08-19 11:00 | Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.25 |
| 08-19 10:59 | Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-18 19:28 | Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo? | SELL | 0.9509591463 | $31.19 |
| 08-18 16:04 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | BUY | 0.4233019442 | $180.71 |
| 08-18 16:01 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | BUY | 0.41 | $50.39 |
| 08-18 15:52 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | SELL | 0.0628253057 | $7.55 |
| 08-18 15:47 | Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | SELL | 0.9808 | $19.62 |