PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bettoooooooooooooor

0xcf457b6e99229e08ca8f924ee823b4f2adf3fe62

Realised P&L
$255.69
Volume
$9.5k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$396.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5180.598$115.35+$15.35
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.5540.675$97.41+$17.41
OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026? · No0.9000.643$71.50−$28.50
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9670.980$50.65+$0.65
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · No0.9590.939$23.49−$0.51
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0200.024$11.75+$1.75
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9570.966$10.09+$0.09
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9850.991$10.06+$0.06
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2000.115$5.75−$4.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 16:59Paris curfew by October 19?SELL0.868$14.46
10-19 11:54Paris curfew by October 19?BUY0.299999994$5.00
10-19 11:53Paris curfew by October 31?BUY0.599999994$20.00
10-19 11:53Paris curfew by October 21?BUY0.3579999858$5.00
10-19 11:52Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
10-19 07:33Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5179999975$100.00
10-18 18:09France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?BUY0.91$91.98
10-15 09:37Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.984999999$10.00
10-15 09:36Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2$10.00
10-15 09:36Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.02$10.00
10-15 09:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.9569999811$10.00
10-12 05:54Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.967$50.00
09-25 06:31Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.985$25.58
09-25 06:27Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?BUY0.9588254388$24.00
09-25 06:24OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?BUY0.9$100.00