0xcf3dC520363F866277d5a5B7CaFab5340a54d571-1758649782037
0xcf3dc520363f866277d5a5b7cafab5340a54d571
- Realised P&L
- $-45.64
- Volume
- $115.3k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $5.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$586.71at 0.042Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET
- +$334.13at 0.077Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$285.80at 0.257Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
- +$204.26at 0.250Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
- +$194.03at 0.134Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.0761904762 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 02-25 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 02-25 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $0.99 |
| 02-25 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.14999994 | $1.98 |
| 02-25 06:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $1.96 |
| 02-25 06:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $1.94 |
| 02-25 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $1.94 |
| 02-25 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.97 |
| 02-25 06:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $0.97 |
| 02-25 06:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $4.87 |
| 02-25 06:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $4.86 |
| 02-25 06:45 | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.67 |