PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcf3dC520363F866277d5a5B7CaFab5340a54d571-1758649782037

0xcf3dc520363f866277d5a5b7cafab5340a54d571

Realised P&L
$-45.64
Volume
$115.3k
Markets traded
244
Open portfolio
$5.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded244
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? · Yes0.2000.052$5.20$14.80
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3PM ET · Down0.0030.000$0.00$5.00
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$36.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9? · No0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2PM ET · Down0.0350.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$22.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET · Up0.0310.000$0.00$34.14
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - October 12, 5PM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$2.00
XRP Up or Down - October 12, 11AM ET · Down0.1280.000$0.00$15.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? · Yes0.2040.000$0.00$21.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$4.00
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · No0.0840.000$0.00$126.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 1PM ET · Down0.0650.000$0.00$42.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 09:37Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
02-28 09:37Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.0761904762$1.00
02-25 06:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.05$2.00
02-25 06:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.04$2.00
02-25 06:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.08$1.00
02-25 06:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.1199998992$0.99
02-25 06:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.14999994$1.98
02-25 06:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.2899999275$1.96
02-25 06:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.4199999454$1.94
02-25 06:47Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.4099999446$1.94
02-25 06:47Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.3799999012$0.97
02-25 06:46Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.3699998631$0.97
02-25 06:46Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.359999977$4.87
02-25 06:45Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.4$4.86
02-25 06:45Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?SELL0.999$31.67