initial33
0xcf3c2726d291b5b7ff93319947f28036aadd08a0
- Realised P&L
- $-13.9k
- Volume
- $43.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $454.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-32.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.715 | $143.00 | +$43.00 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) · Eagles | 0.540 | 0.535 | $99.07 | −$0.93 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.545 | $97.32 | −$2.68 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders · Eagles | 0.300 | 0.295 | $68.83 | −$1.17 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.305 | $46.26 | −$3.74 |
| Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5 · Over | 0.534 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Wizards vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) · Warriors | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Liberty (-10.5) · Kennesaw State | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) · Hawks | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) · Nuggets | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.551 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.0k |
| Granada CF vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) · Hawks | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.613Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$141.88at 0.417Buccaneers vs. Panthers
- +$100.00at 0.500Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
- +$100.00at 0.500Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5
- +$93.63at 0.522Bruins vs. Blues
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:03 | Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 15:10 | Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 15:07 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 22:22 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 14:39 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.2299999983 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 06:39 | Eagles vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.2999999991 | $70.00 |
| 10-30 15:32 | Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 21:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.423 | $12.69 |
| 10-29 20:51 | Bruins vs. Blues | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 20:51 | Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 01:50 | Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 01:46 | Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 18:40 | Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.489999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 18:40 | Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.489999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 18:32 | Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |