0xcf3A0586dB88CF07Ce52291142B58eDdf1349994-1783425024730
0xcf3a0586db88cf07ce52291142b58eddf1349994
- Realised P&L
- $-49.83
- Volume
- $837.76
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.150 | $9.38 | −$0.63 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.51 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Down | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.57at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$7.93at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$2.08at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$-0.47at 0.562Will NEOM SC win on 2026-10-09?
- +$-38.78at 0.218Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999992 | $1.51 |
| 10-04 20:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $1.71 |
| 10-04 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.71 |
| 10-04 20:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.86 |
| 10-04 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999851 | $9.47 |
| 10-04 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $5.70 |
| 10-04 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $6.18 |
| 10-04 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999761 | $4.00 |
| 10-04 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $14.50 |
| 10-04 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999947 | $5.80 |
| 10-04 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.279999986 | $4.00 |
| 10-04 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.60 |
| 10-04 17:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.209999999 | $14.00 |
| 10-04 17:25 | Will NEOM SC win on 2026-10-09? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.71 |
| 10-04 17:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $14.99 |