0xcf3316307E6AcA818b397e6a1D2ed60e1367fB3B-1770219564209
0xcf3316307e6aca818b397e6a1d2ed60e1367fb3b
- Realised P&L
- $-98.15
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $529.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes | 0.986 | 1.000 | $247.83 | +$3.47 |
| Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%? · No | 0.978 | 1.000 | $99.99 | +$2.20 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28? · No | 0.820 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$9.00 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No | 0.855 | 0.962 | $46.40 | +$5.15 |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? · No | 0.700 | 1.000 | $25.00 | +$7.50 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.866 | 0.068 | $20.40 | −$239.40 |
| Will Trump say “Pocahontas” by February 28? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.04 |
| Will Trump say “Crazy Bernie” by February 28? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.04 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes | 0.704 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.99at 0.773Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
- +$4.09at 0.880US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.770Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
- +$-0.60at 0.670Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
- +$-3.90at 0.646S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 01:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $0.22 |
| 02-28 01:16 | Will Trump say “Crazy Bernie” by February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 02-28 01:16 | Will Trump say “Pocahontas” by February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 02-28 01:15 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 02-28 01:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | SELL | 0.9819624639 | $51.01 |
| 02-28 00:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $3.09 |
| 02-28 00:36 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.878 | $4.39 |
| 02-28 00:36 | Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.00 |
| 02-06 10:08 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $11.95 |
| 02-06 00:23 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $17.50 |
| 02-06 00:18 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |
| 02-05 23:35 | Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $78.62 |
| 02-05 12:35 | Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $11.55 |
| 02-05 12:23 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $11.55 |
| 02-05 09:03 | Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | BUY | 0.7099999987 | $90.41 |