PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcf3316307E6AcA818b397e6a1D2ed60e1367fB3B-1770219564209

0xcf3316307e6aca818b397e6a1d2ed60e1367fb3b

Realised P&L
$-98.15
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$529.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.9861.000$247.83+$3.47
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%? · No0.9781.000$99.99+$2.20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28? · No0.8201.000$50.00+$9.00
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · No0.8550.962$46.40+$5.15
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? · No0.7001.000$25.00+$7.50
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8660.068$20.40−$239.40
Will Trump say “Pocahontas” by February 28? · No0.9981.000$20.00+$0.04
Will Trump say “Crazy Bernie” by February 28? · No0.9981.000$20.00+$0.04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes0.7040.000$0.00−$125.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 01:17Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.981$0.22
02-28 01:16Will Trump say “Crazy Bernie” by February 28?BUY0.998$19.96
02-28 01:16Will Trump say “Pocahontas” by February 28?BUY0.998$19.96
02-28 01:15Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?BUY0.82$41.00
02-28 01:13Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.9819624639$51.01
02-28 00:44Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.986$3.09
02-28 00:36Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.878$4.39
02-28 00:36Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?BUY0.978$4.00
02-06 10:08Starmer out by February 28, 2026?SELL0.92$11.95
02-06 00:23Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.7$17.50
02-06 00:18Major CEX insolvent in 2026?BUY0.8599999991$20.00
02-05 23:35Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?SELL0.988$78.62
02-05 12:35Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?BUY0.88$11.55
02-05 12:23Starmer out by February 28, 2026?SELL0.89$11.55
02-05 09:03Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?BUY0.7099999987$90.41