PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

just4fun88

0xcf302c8906236cec45db5698685d2de1829d5d76

Realised P&L
$-21.97
Volume
$831.43
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$32.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trabzonspor finish top 8 in UECL league phase? · No0.7700.605$12.10−$3.30
Will OB be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga? · Yes0.5550.245$9.80−$12.40
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.4100.315$6.30−$1.90
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · Yes0.4580.192$3.84−$5.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 16:42US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.82$16.40
09-30 16:41Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?SELL0.45$3.38
09-30 16:39Will a team from Americas win VALORANT Champions 2026?SELL0.52$10.40
09-30 14:17Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.36$2.09
09-30 08:29Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?SELL0.58$11.60
09-30 06:45Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1$4.00
09-30 06:44Will DAC Dunajská Streda be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovak Niké Liga?SELL0.02$0.40
09-30 06:43Will FC Ulytau be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?SELL0.002$0.08
09-30 06:42Will Ascent be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?SELL0.56$5.60
09-30 06:41Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.59225$23.69
09-30 06:41Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.38$0.92
09-30 06:40Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?SELL0.64$25.60
09-20 14:58US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?BUY0.72$14.40
09-20 14:58US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?BUY0.29$5.80
09-20 14:56Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$16.00