just4fun88
0xcf302c8906236cec45db5698685d2de1829d5d76
- Realised P&L
- $-21.97
- Volume
- $831.43
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $32.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trabzonspor finish top 8 in UECL league phase? · No | 0.770 | 0.605 | $12.10 | −$3.30 |
| Will OB be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga? · Yes | 0.555 | 0.245 | $9.80 | −$12.40 |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.410 | 0.315 | $6.30 | −$1.90 |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · Yes | 0.458 | 0.192 | $3.84 | −$5.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.590Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
- +$0.07at 0.806Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.18at 0.553Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
- +$-0.24at 0.580Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?
- +$-0.28at 0.830US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:42 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 09-30 16:41 | Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.38 |
| 09-30 16:39 | Will a team from Americas win VALORANT Champions 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-30 14:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.09 |
| 09-30 08:29 | Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 09-30 06:45 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 06:44 | Will DAC Dunajská Streda be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovak Niké Liga? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-30 06:43 | Will FC Ulytau be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 09-30 06:42 | Will Ascent be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-30 06:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.59225 | $23.69 |
| 09-30 06:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.92 |
| 09-30 06:40 | Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $25.60 |
| 09-20 14:58 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 09-20 14:58 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-20 14:56 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |