gbfvdc54
0xcf2f9ca529d1bce5793e58a7e1ac92209124149d
- Realised P&L
- $14.62
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $112.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $63.73 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $48.83 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.65at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 15?
- +$0.44at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?
- +$0.41at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 27?
- +$0.36at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 28?
- +$0.30at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.80 |
| 11-02 00:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.77 |
| 10-31 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $62.85 |
| 10-31 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.81 |
| 10-30 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.04 |
| 10-30 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.35 |
| 10-30 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.09 |
| 10-30 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.32 |
| 10-30 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.78 |
| 10-30 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.60 |
| 10-30 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $56.69 |
| 10-29 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.38 |
| 10-29 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.96 |
| 10-26 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.62 |
| 10-25 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.25 |