PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

gbfvdc54

0xcf2f9ca529d1bce5793e58a7e1ac92209124149d

Realised P&L
$14.62
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$112.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2? · No0.9990.999$63.73−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2? · No0.9991.000$48.83+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:08Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 2?BUY0.999$48.80
11-02 00:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2?BUY0.999$63.77
10-31 21:08Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31?BUY0.999$62.85
10-31 17:18Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on November 1?BUY0.999$60.81
10-30 17:58Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 30?BUY0.999$7.04
10-30 17:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 31?BUY0.999$9.35
10-30 16:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?BUY0.999$15.09
10-30 16:04Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?BUY0.999$19.32
10-30 09:37Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?BUY0.999$28.78
10-30 09:18Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 30?BUY0.999$38.60
10-30 04:53Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 30?BUY0.999$56.69
10-29 22:20Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 30?BUY0.999$44.38
10-29 14:11Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 29?BUY0.999$67.96
10-26 02:28Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 26?BUY0.999$3.62
10-25 22:30Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 26?BUY0.999$49.25