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0xcf2d396959f18a2a05a573fe64f76f3c77b592ea
- Realised P&L
- $901.03
- Volume
- $447.1k
- Markets traded
- 401
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded401
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.02at 0.931Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
- +$46.52at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 26?
- +$39.19at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 27?
- +$39.08at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 1?
- +$26.45at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $235.71 |
| 08-09 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 08-09 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $172.93 |
| 08-09 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $449.55 |
| 08-09 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.10 |
| 08-09 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $449.35 |
| 08-09 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.35 |
| 08-09 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $270.48 |
| 08-09 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $449.55 |
| 08-09 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $449.55 |
| 08-09 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $449.55 |
| 08-09 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $179.82 |
| 08-09 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $209.79 |
| 08-09 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $359.64 |
| 08-09 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $240.71 |