mtsmeister
0xcf2d392bc0b83aca4d91acd143250fa22805d689
- Realised P&L
- $-438.16
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $150.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-3.5) · Pittsburgh | 0.600 | 0.595 | $49.58 | −$0.42 |
| Set Handicap: Cristina Bucsa (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5) · Cristina Bucsa | 0.510 | 0.480 | $47.06 | −$2.94 |
| Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.335 | $27.92 | −$22.08 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $24.65 | −$0.35 |
| São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Under | 0.510 | 0.005 | $0.49 | −$49.51 |
| W100 Templeton, CA: Caroline Dolehide vs Julieta Pareja · Caroline Dolehide | 0.550 | 0.005 | $0.45 | −$49.55 |
| Poland vs. Romania: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Panthers vs. Sharks · Panthers | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Ranheim vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner · BetBoom Team | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) · Azerbaijan | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.13at 0.597UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$39.78at 0.562Will Bohemians Dublin FC win on 2026-10-02?
- +$38.19at 0.572Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?
- +$13.65at 0.407UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
- +$-40.00at 0.301UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:08 | Spread: Virginia Tech (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 18:38 | Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.75 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 18:36 | Will Georgia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 17:40 | Ranheim vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 16:50 | W100 Templeton, CA: Caroline Dolehide vs Julieta Pareja | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 16:49 | Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 12:36 | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.589999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 12:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 11:40 | Set Handicap: Cristina Bucsa (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 11:38 | Poland vs. Romania: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.589999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 11:37 | Will Bohemians Dublin FC win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 11:34 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 11:30 | São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 23:50 | Panthers vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.579999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 16:52 | Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |