Bleak93
0xcf22aaf9b45755732b8b047e025c085de7011051
- Realised P&L
- $-168.22
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $68.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.450 | 0.305 | $33.89 | −$16.11 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.140 | $23.33 | −$26.67 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.024 | $11.10 | −$38.90 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.615 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.70at 0.460Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 15:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.6149999992 | $79.24 |
| 01-26 21:09 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999954 | $36.37 |
| 01-24 12:02 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 01-24 12:02 | Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | BUY | 0.1058850935 | $50.00 |
| 01-24 12:01 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 01-24 12:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |