PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bleak93

0xcf22aaf9b45755732b8b047e025c085de7011051

Realised P&L
$-168.22
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$68.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4500.305$33.89$16.11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3000.140$23.33$26.67
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · Yes0.1060.024$11.10$38.90
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$50.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.6150.000$0.00$79.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 15:46Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.6149999992$79.24
01-26 21:09Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.4599999954$36.37
01-24 12:02US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.299999997$50.00
01-24 12:02Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.1058850935$50.00
01-24 12:01Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
01-24 12:012026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.4499999955$50.00