PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xCf1dB405a65802d65411c85E0EA5c7d585398471-1759275200057

0xcf1db405a65802d65411c85e0ea5c7d585398471

Realised P&L
$-214.44
Volume
$42.6k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$537.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5130.500$289.56$7.55
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.3270.210$166.72$92.73
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? · Yes0.3340.125$80.84$135.16
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$85.78
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yes0.3930.000$0.00$23.01
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$16.42
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$30.00
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? · No0.2090.000$0.00$80.00
US government shutdown by October 1? · No0.0190.000$0.00$7.50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.33
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$30.00
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$51.94
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$18.00
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$20.00
Panick in the White House · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$33.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-08 22:35Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.51304233$297.11
12-24 21:16Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?SELL0.76$83.04
12-24 21:16U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY0.4443480463$35.00
12-24 21:16U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?BUY0.4052985351$100.00
12-24 21:13US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?SELL0.94$209.74
11-28 07:25Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL0.86$139.35
11-18 21:11Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.5277782951$85.52
11-18 21:11Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?SELL0.0219524884$85.52
11-11 03:21U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY0.3383198109$140.45
11-10 22:45Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?BUY0.0560000002$20.00
11-10 22:44Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?BUY0.0572107196$40.00
11-10 22:44US strikes Nigeria by December 31?SELL0.07$33.90
11-10 21:54U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?BUY0.1099278598$40.00
11-10 21:50Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?SELL0.93$206.54
11-10 17:06Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?BUY0.8799999998$195.44