0xCf1dB405a65802d65411c85E0EA5c7d585398471-1759275200057
0xcf1db405a65802d65411c85e0ea5c7d585398471
- Realised P&L
- $-214.44
- Volume
- $42.6k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $537.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.80at 0.180Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$124.24at 0.432OpenAI browser by October 31?
- +$103.99at 0.480US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$93.90at 0.061Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?
- +$53.83at 0.528Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 22:35 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.51304233 | $297.11 |
| 12-24 21:16 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $83.04 |
| 12-24 21:16 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | BUY | 0.4443480463 | $35.00 |
| 12-24 21:16 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | BUY | 0.4052985351 | $100.00 |
| 12-24 21:13 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $209.74 |
| 11-28 07:25 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.86 | $139.35 |
| 11-18 21:11 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.5277782951 | $85.52 |
| 11-18 21:11 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? | SELL | 0.0219524884 | $85.52 |
| 11-11 03:21 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | BUY | 0.3383198109 | $140.45 |
| 11-10 22:45 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BUY | 0.0560000002 | $20.00 |
| 11-10 22:44 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BUY | 0.0572107196 | $40.00 |
| 11-10 22:44 | US strikes Nigeria by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $33.90 |
| 11-10 21:54 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"? | BUY | 0.1099278598 | $40.00 |
| 11-10 21:50 | Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | SELL | 0.93 | $206.54 |
| 11-10 17:06 | Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | BUY | 0.8799999998 | $195.44 |