intensified
0xcf1d119f837eb1cd78fcdc80149e788fa21c9591
- Realised P&L
- $-129.04
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $767.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Brugge win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.800 | 1.000 | $24.80 | +$4.95 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.885 | $21.96 | +$0.37 |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.825 | $20.77 | −$0.13 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.815 | $20.39 | −$0.13 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $19.82 | −$0.12 |
| Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $19.77 | −$0.12 |
| Will Tampereen Ilves win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.753 | 0.745 | $18.57 | −$0.21 |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.735 | $18.34 | −$0.12 |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.695 | $17.62 | −$0.89 |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.695 | $17.41 | −$0.13 |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.665 | $16.66 | +$0.13 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.655 | $16.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.655 | $16.49 | −$0.13 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.673 | 0.675 | $16.48 | +$0.04 |
| Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.663 | 0.655 | $16.32 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.89at 0.540Will Racing Club win on 2026-07-24?
- +$17.91at 0.640Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-24?
- +$17.13at 0.570Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-22?
- +$14.95at 0.570Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?
- +$14.90at 0.573Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-07-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 19:33 | Will PSV win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.84 |
| 08-07 19:32 | Will PSV win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.84 |
| 08-07 19:32 | Will PSV win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.84 |
| 08-07 17:03 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10? | BUY | 0.74 | $6.12 |
| 08-07 17:03 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10? | BUY | 0.74 | $6.17 |
| 08-07 17:02 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10? | BUY | 0.74 | $6.17 |
| 08-07 16:53 | Will SCR Altach win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.67 |
| 08-07 16:52 | Will SCR Altach win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.67 |
| 08-07 16:51 | Will SCR Altach win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.67 |
| 08-07 12:37 | Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.41 |
| 08-07 12:36 | Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.41 |
| 08-07 12:35 | Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.41 |
| 08-07 10:13 | Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.54 |
| 08-07 10:12 | Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.54 |
| 08-07 10:11 | Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.54 |