0xcf1B7e678741F4a57522b4aA2E5788ff8086b70F-1779643841057
0xcf1b7e678741f4a57522b4aa2e5788ff8086b70f
- Realised P&L
- $-222.56
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 947
- Open portfolio
- $44.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded947
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.60at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$26.19at 0.852Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
- +$15.98at 0.026Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$12.83at 0.273Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$9.99at 0.834Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9299999943 | $9.84 |
| 11-02 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.0765423618 | $2.34 |
| 11-02 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.86 |
| 11-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.89 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3250941481 | $9.94 |
| 11-01 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9299999944 | $9.88 |
| 10-29 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.3599999956 | $9.87 |
| 10-29 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.79 |
| 10-28 21:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $9.74 |
| 10-28 20:53 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999568 | $9.87 |
| 10-15 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $15.30 |
| 10-15 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.71 |
| 10-15 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $6.51 |
| 10-15 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $10.89 |
| 10-15 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $6.11 |