PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcf1B7e678741F4a57522b4aA2E5788ff8086b70F-1779643841057

0xcf1b7e678741f4a57522b4aa2e5788ff8086b70f

Realised P&L
$-222.56
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
947
Open portfolio
$44.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded947
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:57Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?BUY0.9299999943$9.84
11-02 00:57Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?SELL0.0765423618$2.34
11-02 00:06Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.32$9.86
11-02 00:03Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2?BUY0.9$9.89
11-01 22:39Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on November 2?BUY0.3250941481$9.94
11-01 02:31Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?BUY0.9299999944$9.88
10-29 04:14Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 30?BUY0.3599999956$9.87
10-29 02:51Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 29?BUY0.95$9.79
10-28 21:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.81$9.74
10-28 20:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8199999568$9.87
10-15 12:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.85$15.30
10-15 12:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.19$1.71
10-15 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.62$6.51
10-15 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.33$10.89
10-15 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.65$6.11