CesareBorgia
0xcf11302f91557cc1419c14e6ae2a4d8e72b6918b
- Realised P&L
- $7.52
- Volume
- $886.33
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $90.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.170 | $76.50 | +$1.23 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · No | 0.231 | 0.175 | $14.42 | −$4.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.47at 0.461Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-4.57at 0.141Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 01:21 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.64 |
| 09-14 01:13 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 09-14 01:11 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.17 | $37.93 |
| 09-14 01:08 | Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.16 | $25.60 |
| 09-10 23:09 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.62 |
| 09-10 23:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.56 | $78.60 |
| 06-26 16:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999633 | $3.36 |
| 06-26 16:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 13:58 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.2409267005 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 13:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 06-22 14:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 13:57 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1365629774 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 13:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 12:59 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.2199999858 | $9.00 |