PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Nixh58

0xcf105dfba79612fd9d888534cf10752c0abe7feb

Realised P&L
$-237.92
Volume
$3.02M
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$90.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? · Yes0.3510.275$67.38$18.52
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1830.075$23.25$33.65
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.2470.000$0.00$49.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 16:47Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$56.04
05-22 23:05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.92$82.80
05-16 15:18MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.61$54.90
03-07 16:12Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$342.58
03-07 16:11Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$257.11
03-04 18:11Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$8.37
03-04 18:06Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$337.69
03-02 22:55Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$396.68
03-01 13:51Kings vs. LakersBUY0.1399999787$5.00
03-01 13:51Pelicans vs. ClippersBUY0.25$5.00
03-01 13:5176ers vs. CelticsBUY0.2399999674$5.00
03-01 13:48Thunder vs. MavericksBUY0.1199999808$5.00
03-01 13:47Cavaliers vs. NetsBUY0.1799999755$5.00
03-01 13:44Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$208.36
03-01 13:39Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$0.00