0xcf0f71a0e571905d4a6a8915ee26286a5e783cfb
- Realised P&L
- $-115.83
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $239.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.60at 0.048Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-0.94at 0.029Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-09 00:36 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.01 |
| 03-09 00:36 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 20:36 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2? | BUY | 0.049 | $0.05 |
| 02-28 19:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 19:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 19:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 19:36 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.05 |
| 02-28 18:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 18:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 18:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 02-28 18:36 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.08 |
| 02-28 17:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.01 |
| 02-28 17:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 02-28 17:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 02-28 17:36 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.06 |