PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcf0f71a0e571905d4a6a8915ee26286a5e783cfb

Realised P&L
$-115.83
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$239.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0681.000$64.32+$59.96
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally? · Yes0.1801.000$50.51+$41.42
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5300.500$47.17$2.83
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · Yes0.1730.045$21.65$61.75
Will Trump say "White House" during the State of the Union address? · Yes0.5901.000$21.59+$8.85
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · Yes0.0800.049$12.98$8.43
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? · No0.0381.000$7.90+$7.60
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.021$4.07$7.33
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.029$3.34$7.02
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.018$1.75$2.60
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.025$1.26$2.78
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.011$0.97$0.05
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.013$0.81$0.58
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.004$0.53$0.99
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? · Yes0.0590.034$0.42$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-09 00:36MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?BUY0.012$0.01
03-09 00:36Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?BUY0.006$0.01
02-28 20:36Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?BUY0.049$0.05
02-28 19:36Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.006$0.01
02-28 19:36Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.005$0.01
02-28 19:36Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.007$0.01
02-28 19:36Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?BUY0.046$0.05
02-28 18:36Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.009$0.01
02-28 18:36Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.006$0.01
02-28 18:36Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.001$0.00
02-28 18:36Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?BUY0.066$0.08
02-28 17:36Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.007$0.01
02-28 17:36Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.004$0.00
02-28 17:36Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?BUY0.001$0.00
02-28 17:36Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?BUY0.048$0.06