0xcf0b800c9f9105c207718ad83a8da994b0389176
- Realised P&L
- $-206.27
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $0.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$49.88 |
| Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) · Ararat-Armenia FA | 0.300 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$22.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.95at 0.537Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
- +$54.87at 0.645Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
- +$51.15at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$44.40at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$37.64at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:09 | Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3000513388 | $23.00 |
| 09-16 16:48 | Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.2047581896 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 16:43 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 19:22 | FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.579999996 | $35.00 |
| 09-10 18:58 | FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 18:57 | Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 11:29 | FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.4678339263 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 11:28 | Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $40.00 |
| 09-10 11:26 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.0289999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 20:08 | Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6085184216 | $94.00 |