PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HedgeHero888

0xcefe4776ad35a78b3e504358887c7823aec9895d

Realised P&L
$-621.34
Volume
$152.8k
Markets traded
256
Open portfolio
$552.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded256
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No0.9600.976$195.10+$3.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes0.5900.480$192.00$44.00
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.645$64.50$2.50
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes0.2000.210$63.00+$3.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.3200.375$37.50+$5.50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.02
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$6.45
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$3.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.01
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.6270.000$0.00$42.60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4970.000$0.00$49.68
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$34.00
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 15:54Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.9938567667$298.16
09-09 02:09Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.911$91.10
08-29 04:14Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
08-29 04:10Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.95$95.00
08-18 03:58Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.291772$58.35
08-18 03:58Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.2914085$58.28
08-17 15:29Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.8699677419$161.81
08-16 06:25Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.43$43.00
08-15 07:42Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.946$283.80
08-14 12:50Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.989$296.70
08-14 12:50Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.978$293.40
08-14 12:49Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?BUY0.761$76.09
08-14 12:48Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.92$184.00
08-12 23:06Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.971$194.20
08-12 15:00Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.998$499.00