PolyBot

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Traders

Pvelyas

0xcef7b865b63bcfebbcf6f2e4ffb4ac9be29c5a08

Realised P&L
$151.11
Volume
$30.3k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$238.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1310.098$149.62−$50.38
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1240.085$89.07−$40.93
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$50.00
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$100.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$100.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$100.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$150.00
Crude Oil all time high by March 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$100.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 22:02Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.1240658348$130.00
08-17 22:02Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1309999995$200.00
03-23 01:18US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.3310602148$200.00
03-23 01:18US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.1399999993$150.00
03-19 16:08Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?BUY0.2$100.00
03-19 15:59Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY0.2425481919$200.00
03-19 15:58Crude Oil all time high by March 31?BUY0.08$100.00
03-19 15:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.3002421302$300.00
03-19 15:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.119999999$100.00
02-28 11:48Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.991$408.72
02-28 11:47Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.54$212.11
02-27 12:50Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?BUY0.2703729205$150.00
02-27 12:49Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.1454782396$60.00
02-20 01:36Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
02-20 01:26 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY0.1399999989$100.00