ChineseMethod
0xcef7546f9069ecd6a05f7c1ad04c92b0f851e7d7
- Realised P&L
- $91.7k
- Volume
- $2.29M
- Markets traded
- 2,223
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,223
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.840 | 1.000 | $1.4k | +$222.63 |
| Will Angers SCO win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.12 |
| Will Angers SCO vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.50 |
| Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.93 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.30 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw? · No | 0.463 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.95 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will SS Arezzo win on 2026-09-11? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.10 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.239Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-13?
- +$4.4kat 0.426Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?
- +$3.8kat 0.236Will Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
- +$3.7kat 0.260Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?
- +$3.3kat 0.164Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 16:58 | Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.0128227381 | $26.93 |
| 10-10 16:58 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.9314697143 | $652.03 |
| 10-10 16:39 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7494845714 | $524.64 |
| 10-10 16:39 | Will Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7983 | $558.81 |
| 09-25 19:02 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.38 | $152.00 |
| 09-25 19:02 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.15 | $60.00 |
| 09-25 19:02 | Will Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2346665 | $93.87 |
| 09-19 20:14 | Will Angers SCO win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.06 | $54.00 |
| 09-19 20:14 | Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.0212397778 | $19.12 |
| 09-19 20:14 | Will Angers SCO vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0583333333 | $52.50 |
| 09-13 13:20 | Will Lille OSC vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.87 | $47.99 |
| 09-13 13:20 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.81 | $202.50 |
| 09-13 13:17 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.65 | $162.50 |
| 09-12 20:52 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 09-12 20:52 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.99 | $17.21 |