jennifer25
0xcef4a64ede85e00cbf3c92061401049e9bb5c3a0
- Realised P&L
- $-71.06
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $63.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? · No | 0.605 | 0.505 | $21.79 | −$4.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.575 | $21.63 | +$0.94 |
| Harvard vs. Brown: O/U 61.5 · Under | 0.720 | 0.810 | $16.58 | +$1.84 |
| Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes | 0.685 | 0.582 | $3.88 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.65at 0.840Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.844Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 21?
- +$1.15at 0.910Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
- +$0.49at 0.469Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$0.23at 0.993Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:56 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8373766312 | $15.96 |
| 01-31 14:20 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.99899997 | $12.61 |
| 01-30 15:34 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.39 |
| 01-30 15:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999121 | $11.02 |
| 01-30 14:10 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.65 |
| 01-30 12:43 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.26 |
| 12-30 15:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.62 |
| 12-30 11:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.79 |
| 12-30 01:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.995999949 | $9.06 |
| 12-29 23:37 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $33.21 |
| 12-29 22:10 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.96 |
| 10-30 21:37 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.90 |
| 10-30 17:52 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.44 |
| 09-29 17:12 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999514 | $11.34 |
| 09-29 16:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999723 | $18.47 |