0xCeF4841d2665e9DD4902f26218bb4969B998EF73-1771808412252
0xcef4841d2665e9dd4902f26218bb4969b998ef73
- Realised P&L
- $-32.62
- Volume
- $947.62
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $70.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.200Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.303Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$4.13at 0.547Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$1.17at 0.810Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
- +$0.68at 0.880Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 00:17 | Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 00:07 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 23:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.1469999947 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 23:49 | Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.064 | $0.32 |
| 10-27 00:03 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 00:00 | Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1989999853 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:46 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2099999969 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 23:44 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 23:37 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.468999999 | $6.00 |
| 03-13 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.97 |
| 03-13 03:11 | Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.11 |
| 03-10 01:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3690048188 | $0.97 |
| 03-09 02:00 | Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 03-09 00:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $0.97 |
| 03-08 21:43 | Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |