PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DankeThanks

0xcee853c7b514aaf5e892a0100105f5d5ffb8cf81

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$61.1k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$207.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.6000.420$140.07−$59.93
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · Yes0.5860.155$52.93−$147.03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3710.055$14.83−$85.17
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · No0.5940.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$212.97
US strikes Nigeria by December 31? · No0.9130.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$5.00
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$200.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands? · No0.9380.000$0.00−$199.96
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin all time high in May? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? · Yes0.4020.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 19:18Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$115.74
05-06 19:00Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2678369472$100.00
05-05 03:52Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.72$137.51
04-27 14:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.72$200.00
04-05 10:32European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? SELL0.89616957$278.83
03-31 08:12Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5235726219$100.00
03-29 05:11Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.8113467409$180.74
03-07 06:54Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.7699999998$100.00
02-19 12:01Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?SELL0.42$95.16
02-19 06:20Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?BUY0.4413336147$100.00
02-19 05:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8099999993$200.00
01-29 11:28Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?BUY0.4899999991$200.00
01-29 09:22Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?SELL0.998$218.88
01-28 09:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.8599999971$200.00
01-28 09:11Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.8978230838$200.00