DankeThanks
0xcee853c7b514aaf5e892a0100105f5d5ffb8cf81
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $61.1k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $207.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.41at 0.390Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
- +$78.28at 0.644European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
- +$34.74at 0.523Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$33.70at 0.748Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?
- +$32.56at 0.860Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 19:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $115.74 |
| 05-06 19:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2678369472 | $100.00 |
| 05-05 03:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $137.51 |
| 04-27 14:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $200.00 |
| 04-05 10:32 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | SELL | 0.89616957 | $278.83 |
| 03-31 08:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5235726219 | $100.00 |
| 03-29 05:11 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.8113467409 | $180.74 |
| 03-07 06:54 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 02-19 12:01 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.42 | $95.16 |
| 02-19 06:20 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.4413336147 | $100.00 |
| 02-19 05:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $200.00 |
| 01-29 11:28 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $200.00 |
| 01-29 09:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $218.88 |
| 01-28 09:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999971 | $200.00 |
| 01-28 09:11 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8978230838 | $200.00 |