0xceda4a3149c2c64e58c6d3503c5f3b732575f208
0xceda4a3149c2c64e58c6d3503c5f3b732575f208
- Realised P&L
- $-11.50
- Volume
- $221.07
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $9.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.340 | 0.450 | $3.03 | +$0.74 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.930 | $2.70 | +$0.41 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.780 | $2.67 | +$0.38 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.075 | $0.54 | −$1.75 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.410 | 0.021 | $0.12 | −$2.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$3.24at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
- +$2.69at 0.460US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.64at 0.470Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.53at 0.480Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999555 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:00 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999759 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 21:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 15:21 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699999912 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 03:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4099999893 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 02:23 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999879 | $2.29 |
| 09-07 14:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $2.29 |
| 09-03 14:32 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999349 | $2.29 |
| 09-02 01:23 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.4799999245 | $2.29 |
| 09-01 10:40 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.54999994 | $2.29 |
| 08-23 08:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.409999957 | $2.29 |
| 08-22 14:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2299999397 | $2.29 |
| 08-20 22:12 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6449997268 | $2.29 |
| 08-20 06:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.6799999154 | $2.25 |
| 08-19 18:09 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 19? | BUY | 0.3399999079 | $2.29 |