PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xceda4a3149c2c64e58c6d3503c5f3b732575f208

Realised P&L
$-0.02
Volume
$69.45
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$22.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6600.997$3.46+$1.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.7001.000$3.27+$0.98
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7401.000$3.09+$0.80
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3200.370$2.65+$0.36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2290.238$2.38+$0.09
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.7000.630$2.06$0.23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2500.195$1.79$0.50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.4400.515$1.53+$0.22
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.815$1.45+$0.06
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3300.057$0.40$1.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 02:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.25$2.29
08-03 18:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6999997249$2.29
08-03 10:07Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3299999481$2.29
08-03 10:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$2.29
08-03 10:07Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6599999885$2.29
08-02 21:17Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.78$1.39
08-02 10:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.229$2.29
08-01 22:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.6999997249$2.29
08-01 14:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.739999735$2.29
08-01 03:21Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 19:21Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 11:20WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 31?BUY0.6999999343$2.13
07-30 16:00Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6$1.83
07-29 14:52Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999262$2.21
07-29 05:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4399999194$1.31