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Traders

0xceda4a3149c2c64e58c6d3503c5f3b732575f208

0xceda4a3149c2c64e58c6d3503c5f3b732575f208

Realised P&L
$-11.50
Volume
$221.07
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$9.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.3400.450$3.03+$0.74
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.7900.930$2.70+$0.41
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.6700.780$2.67+$0.38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.3200.075$0.54$1.75
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.4100.021$0.12$2.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3399999555$2.29
09-21 06:00Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7899999759$2.29
09-20 21:55Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.32$2.29
09-19 15:21Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.6699999912$2.29
09-19 03:57Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.4099999893$2.29
09-16 02:23Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?BUY0.4599999879$2.29
09-07 14:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.7299999841$2.29
09-03 14:32Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.7099999349$2.29
09-02 01:23SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2?BUY0.4799999245$2.29
09-01 10:40Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?BUY0.54999994$2.29
08-23 08:18Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?BUY0.409999957$2.29
08-22 14:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.2299999397$2.29
08-20 22:12NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6449997268$2.29
08-20 06:18S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?BUY0.6799999154$2.25
08-19 18:09S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 19?BUY0.3399999079$2.29
Trader 0xceda4a3149c2c64e58c6d3503c5f3b732575f208 · PolyBot Pro