0xceda4a3149c2c64e58c6d3503c5f3b732575f208
- Realised P&L
- $-0.02
- Volume
- $69.45
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $22.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.997 | $3.46 | +$1.17 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes | 0.700 | 1.000 | $3.27 | +$0.98 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.740 | 1.000 | $3.09 | +$0.80 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.320 | 0.370 | $2.65 | +$0.36 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.238 | $2.38 | +$0.09 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.630 | $2.06 | −$0.23 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.250 | 0.195 | $1.79 | −$0.50 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.515 | $1.53 | +$0.22 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.815 | $1.45 | +$0.06 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.057 | $0.40 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.91at 0.700WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 31?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$-1.83at 0.600Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 18:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6999997249 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 10:07 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999481 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 10:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 10:07 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999885 | $2.29 |
| 08-02 21:17 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.39 |
| 08-02 10:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.229 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 22:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.6999997249 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 14:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.739999735 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 03:21 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 19:21 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 11:20 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 31? | BUY | 0.6999999343 | $2.13 |
| 07-30 16:00 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |
| 07-29 14:52 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999262 | $2.21 |
| 07-29 05:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4399999194 | $1.31 |