PolyBot

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Traders

spamabunch

0xced2fb16502b6c9ddd7238ad11c3fb82f1721076

Realised P&L
$-26.3k
Volume
$1.61M
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$808.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · No0.7670.825$474.73+$33.14
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2700.305$224.78+$25.80
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? · No0.7500.964$39.50+$8.76
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.4960.215$32.25$42.16
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? · No0.3640.825$21.42+$11.97
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? · Yes0.0890.140$7.84+$2.87
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · Yes0.7300.095$5.99$39.97
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.055$1.21$8.69
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes0.1600.015$0.45$4.35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$7.38
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.3560.000$0.00$71.29
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$19.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 16:23US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?SELL0.8165447059$104.11
06-19 13:20Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?SELL0.9816751111$397.58
06-19 13:20Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? SELL0.999$1.5k
06-17 23:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?BUY0.7821176471$99.72
06-17 22:53Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?BUY0.9488736897$362.09
06-17 22:51Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?BUY0.9450909091$103.96
06-17 22:51Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?BUY0.937$64.57
06-17 22:44Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? BUY0.963$945.10
06-17 22:43Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?BUY0.9598259002$348.65
06-17 22:43Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?BUY0.95$28.50
06-17 22:39 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.41$7.38
06-17 22:36 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.581$58.10
06-17 22:35 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?SELL0.58$1.5k
06-17 22:33Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? BUY0.956$480.28
06-17 20:50Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? SELL0.0507413998$5.13